Capital Research
Track record · Forecasts

Forecast register

Every dated, checkable forecast our reports have made, listed by the date it can be checked. When that date passes we record the result next to the original forecast; the forecast itself is never edited.

24Forecasts
0Resolved
0Hit
0Missed
24Open
14 January 2027Next check · JPM
Check byTickerForecast Range or directionStatus
January 2027
2027-01-14JPM Q4 2026 adjusted EPS$5.70–6.20 Open
2027-01-14JPM 2027 NII ex-Markets guide$105–110B Open
2027-01-14JPM 2027 expense guide$111–116B Open
2027-01-14JPM 2027 card net charge-off guide3.0–3.6% Open
2027-01-14JPM CET1 standardized, Q4 202613.5–14.2% Open
February 2027
2027-02-02AMD Q4 2026 revenue$17.0–$17.8B Open
2027-02-02AMD Q4 2026 gross margin (quarterly, non-GAAP)54.5–56.0% Open
2027-02-02AMD Q1 2027 revenue guide midpoint$18.5–$21.5B Open
2027-02-02AMD Q4 2026 free cash flow margin5–12% Open
2027-02-02AMD Q4 warrant remeasurementGain if AMD closes below $630.63 on 24 Dec 2026, other inputs unchanged Open
2027-02-03AMD Q4 2026 inventory$12.0–$14.5B Open
2027-02-04AMZN Q4 2026 net sales (guide $240–247B)$242–248B Open
2027-02-04AMZN Q4 2026 AWS revenue (Q4 2025 base $35.6B)$49.5–51.5B, growth 39–45% Open
2027-02-04AMZN Q4 2026 operating income (guide $28.5–33.5B)$30–34B Open
2027-02-04AMZN 2027 capital spending guideAt least $260B Open
2027-02-10AMZN AMZN against the S&P 500, 63 trading days from 10 Nov 2026Sideways to lower (at most +5%) Open
2027-02-11JPM JPM vs SPY, 63 sessions from 10 Nov 2026−8% to +4% Open
2027-02-12AMD AMD vs S&P 500, 63 trading daysSideways to lower (at most +5%) Open
Feb 2027AMZN Fiscal 2026 cash capital spending (guide about $220B)$215–225B Open
Feb 2027AMZN Free cash flow, twelve months to Q4 2026 (Amazon definition)−$65B to −$45B Open
Feb 2027AMZN Long-term debt face value at 31 December 2026$178–190B Open
October 2027
Oct 2027JPM Tangible book value per share, Q3 2027$119–123 Open
February 2028
2028-02-01AMD FY2027 revenue$80–$92B Open
2028-02-01AMD FY2027 free cash flow$8–$14B Open